TO LEARN OR NOT TO LEARN

 

Hot Springs, Yellowstone National Park  *  Photography by Dennis Phan  家墉

 

 

 

 

I believe when we first came to this country, most of us chose to go to school to learn first before finding a job. Some went to adult school to learn ESL and a skill. The luckier ones went to college. I personally think it is a good idea to learn first before doing anything. The learning will make it easier to find a high paying job and a better chance of being promoted to a higher position. I was one of the lucky guys to have a chance to go to UCLA and earned my B.S. degree in 1986.

 

Learning is essential to prepare ourselves for a new task. However, when investing in the stock market, most of us neglect the learning process and jump right in the market, myself included. I was high flying in the golden era of the stock market in the 90’s. At the turn of this century, I realized learning is essential in anything, stock investing and job hunting included.

 

I know some people got lucky and made a lot of money in the stock market during the 90’s. When the market ran out of steam and began its down trend in the year of 2000, their luck also ran out. As a result of it, they gave back all of their profit plus interest. The down trending stock market at the turn of this century terrifies a lot of amateur investors. Most of them are horrified by the market and withdraw completely from stock investment. I was also scared of the market temporarily. However, common sense tells me if there is loser on one side, there must be winner on the other side. The trick is finding a way to be on the winner side and I will be in good shape. I began to look for a way to learn how to invest.

 

When I talk about the need to learn how to invest, the most common feedback I get is there is no secret about trading stock profitably; all we need is buy low and sell high. The problem is how low is low and how high is high? Low and high are relative terms, in my opinion.

 

Let’s talk about Lucent Technologies (LU); a high flying stock in the 90’s once traded in the $80 range. When LU stock dropped to $20 range, many people thought it was low so they bought it. We all knew LU continued to drop below $5. So was $20 low or high?

 

When Goggle Inc. (GOOG) made its IPO debut in August 2004, the stock started at $100, a relatively high price for an IPO. Shortly after the market opened Goggle stock shot up over $100 and never looked back. When I write this article, Goggle stock is trading at the $650 range, a significant gain in a little more than 3 years. So was the IPO price of Goggle stock at $100 high or low?

 

Before learning, I had to do a lot of researches by reading investment magazines, newspapers, watching TV and listening to radio for so called “expert” advices. There were a lot of labor involved.

 

After my investment education, I learn the following tasks, among others:

 

01.                       Find fundamentally strong stock for bullish trade and fundamentally weak stock for bearish trade.

02.                        Ability to read the Candlestick Chart.

03.                        Buy stock at a discount price and get paid for the purchase.

04.                        Sell stock at an inflated price and get paid for the sale.

05.                       Make time, one of the most crucial elements in option trading, to be my ally.

06.                       Buy/sell a combination of call/put, two most powerful option trading vehicles.

07.                        Take advantage of all three market conditions: up, down or sideway.

08.                       Correct a bad trade using option trading techniques to minimize loss or even make profit if the trade does not go my way.

09.                       Stock market is one of a few markets where people can sell without even owning the stock. I learn how to take advantage of people greed by using this beautiful leverage.

10.                       Wall Street is one of a few places where people willingly sell their merchandise for a loss. I learn how to take advantage of people fear by understanding the psychology of the crowd.

11.                       Money management skill so I can still make profit even if I am right less than 50% of the time.

12.                       Emotion control. In my opinion, this is the most important and difficult task of all.

 

After my stock and option investment education, I found out there are more than one way to trade the stock market profitably, among them:

 

·        Buy low sell high: This is the most popular bullish trade and is probably the only way amateur traders know.

·        Sell high buy low: This is a bearish trade commonly known as “shorting” the stock. I personally think it is too risky to short a stock. I would rather sell short a call option or better yet, trade a bear call credit spread to protect myself from a huge loss just in case I am wrong.

·        Buy high sell higher: Jumping in the “up elevator” and ride to the top.

·        Buy high sell low: Apparently, this is not the way to start a trade. It is mathematically impossible to make profit for this trade if we do not do anything between buy high and sell low. This is a “plan B” trade in case “plan A” doesn’t work. With skillful option trading techniques between buy high and sell low, we can minimize the loss and in some cases, even pull out a profit for the trade. This is one of the Correcting A Bad Trade techniques. Emotion control, knowledge, experience and patience are essential in executing this task.

·        Buy/sell call/put: With skillful buy/sell either single or multiple call/put option techniques, we can make profit even if the stock going nowhere. This technique requires extensive stock/option trading knowledge and the ability to read the chart.

 

The learning process costs money and time. It definitely needs patience along the way. It is a relatively expensive process in term of money spent and time involved but I think it is worth because the learning truly makes my trading a lot easier. I look at it this way: After learning, I take the L, or the Labor, out of my trading and begin my earning.

 

To learn or not to learn? The choice is mine and I choose to learn.  If we think the tuition for our education is expensive, consider the price we pay for our ignorance. I think this statement is particularly true in stock trading business.

 

 

 

Dennis Phan   家墉

Khai Minh, UCLA & Investools Alumni

Los Angeles, California, U.S.A., 08 January 2008

 

 

 

请阅读潘家墉作品 * Xin mời đọc một số tác phẩm cuả Dennis Phan.

 

 

 

 

30 December 2007

 

 

 

 

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